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Come on Force fans, we can still get through
1 May 2008
The West Australian
John Welborn
Where are the true believers? On this website!!!
It only seems like yesterday the Western Force were charging towards the finals and the Waratahs were sacking their coach and in disarray. Suddenly, a cloud of doom has descended over the Force’s season.
During the week I have been inundated with emails and comments informing me that without Matt Giteau the team is lacklustre and even with the maestro the Force suffer from a chronic lack of self-belief.
So I’m here to beat the drum for the true believers. I’m convinced the Force can make the finals. Us too!
They need to take a leaf out of the Waratahs’ book. And no, I’m not suggesting we sack John Mitchell as coach. The team can turn the season around with a string of victories.
Let’s study the table as it stands and cast a clairvoyant eye over the three remaining rounds.
I am having a terrible year in my tipping competition but I have to come good at some point. The Crusaders play the Sharks, the Reds and the Highlanders. With Robbie Deans on his last crusade, the betting would be on three victories.
The resurgent Waratahs, benefiting from the superb coaching of Ewen McKenzie, should continue their stellar form and also run into the finals with wins against the Bulls, Stormers and Reds.
This secures first and second on the table.
The Sharks will finish with two wins at home in Durban against the Cheetahs and Chiefs and finish third.
The interesting mathematics is all around the battle for fourth and last spot. I see it as a six-way battle between the Chiefs, Hurricanes, Stormers, Brumbies, Blues and Force.
The Reds are too far behind to threaten but will do the Force a huge favour when they defeat the Blues tomorrow in Brisbane. Assuming the Force beat the Chiefs on Saturday, they will leapfrog the Blues.
The final-round defeat for the Chiefs in Durban will take the men from Waikato out of the running as well.
The Force will have their destiny in their hands in round 13 when they take on the Hurricanes and, given their form in away games in New Zealand, should romp it in.
The Hurricanes’ final round match against the Blues in Auckland should prove too high a hurdle. The Stormers have a tough road home with matches against the Brumbies, Waratahs and, finally, Lions at Ellis Park. Again the Brumbies will do their patriotic duty this weekend and beat the team from Cape Town.
Clear so far? This then leaves the Brumbies and Force to play for fourth in the final round at Subiaco. Simple.
I’m booking my flight to Christchurch on semifinal weekend. Are you with me? Hell yes, you pay and I'm there!!!
FANTASY FINISH
Final Now Rd 12 Rd 13 Rd 14
Crusaders 57 43 4 5 5
Waratahs 49 36 4 5 4
Sharks 41 32 0 5 4
Force 38 24 5 4 5
Chiefs 36 32 0 4 1
Hurricanes 36 31 5 0 0
Blues 35 26 1 4 4
Brumbies 32 28 4 0 0
Stormers 32 31 0 1 0
Bulls 24 15 1 4 4
Reds 22 16 4 1 1
Cheetahs 15 11 4 0 0
Highlanders 12 11 1 0 0
Lions 12 8 0 0 4