A wise man once said " Only bet on a certainty" and one thing that is certain in RWC 2011 is that there will be upsets.

Since the inception of the tournament in 1987 there have been boil overs galore and no pre tournament favourite has ever gone onto lift "Bill".

In the pool rounds most games go according to the form guide but who could forget the Wales being beaten by Samoa in 91 and 99.

Games between the minnows in the pool rounds provide some value but against the higher ranked sides you best go for margin bets.

My "smokey" for the tournament is Argentina to do some upsetting of the Poms and re-align the stars for the Quarter Final Stages.

So there you go, bet early, bet often.


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